CITIC Securities: Scientific and Technological Progress+Policy Expectation The Internet sector is both offensive and defensive. According to CITIC Securities Research Report, the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting on December 9, 2024 pointed out that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year, and consumption should be greatly boosted, investment efficiency should be improved, and domestic demand should be expanded in all directions. We believe that the valuation of the Internet sector has reflected the current conservative expectations, and the strong shareholder returns provide sufficient margin of safety, while the performance of the sector is expected to benefit significantly from the macro improvement, which will bring about a double-click on performance and valuation, with emphasis on recommending pro-cyclical sectors, such as e-commerce, local life, travel, freight, online recruitment, real estate service platforms, etc. Content-based companies focus on the pace of quality content supply and valuation improvement. In the long run, Internet companies lead domestic technological innovation, and artificial intelligence and autonomous driving are expected to contribute to the increase. We suggest focusing on leading Internet companies with pro-cyclical, stable competitive advantage, low valuation and stable shareholder returns.Qingdao Yurun International Plaza failed again, and the starting price dropped from 1.2 billion yuan to 219 million yuan. On December 9, according to the information disclosed by Ali Assets Auction Network, the "Yurun International Plaza" project (HD0606-003 plot) in the core area of Qingdao High-tech Zone failed again, and the starting price dropped to 219 million yuan, and no one signed up. On July 4, 2022, the project was put on the market for the first time. At that time, the reserve price was 1.2 billion yuan. The project was developed by Qingdao Dihua Real Estate Development Co., Ltd., located in the core area of Central Intelligence Island. It was originally planned to invest 6 billion yuan to build a commercial complex integrating technology and finance Center and five-star hotels.Xiaoyu Zhizao, Xiaomi's first furniture model company, completed a round of financing of 100 million yuan, and Beijing Xiaoyu Zhizao Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as Xiaoyu Zhizao), the first large model robot company invested by Xiaomi, completed a round of financing of 100 million yuan. This round of financing is exclusively invested by Beijing Information Industry Development Investment Fund. This is the second time that Xiaoyu Zhizao has received billion-dollar financing after Angel Wheel received billion-dollar investment from Xiaomi Group, Professor Wang Tianmiao and Beijing Zhiyuan Research Institute. Xiaoyu Zhizao was founded by the core founding team of Xiaomi Group in 2023, focusing on the development of large-scale model robot technology suitable for industrial fields, and has developed the "Xiaoyu Brain" universal robot brain, which enables robots to perform various tasks in the industrial environment. (science and technology innovation board Daily)
Tencent Video announced that it will adjust the rights and interests of VIP devices, and the rights and interests of old members will remain unchanged. Tencent Video released a statement on the adjustment of member rights and interests, saying that it will adjust the rights and interests of Tencent Video VIP devices from December 16, 2024. Tencent video VIP members who purchase, collect and activate after 0:00 on December 16th, 2024 can log in with 3 devices and play with 1 device at the same time within the validity period of this order member. Tencent Video said that the rights and interests of VIP old members remain unchanged: Tencent video VIP members who have subscribed for a continuous monthly/quarterly/annual subscription before December 16, 2024, if they continue to subscribe, will enjoy the rights of logging in 5 devices and playing 2 devices at the same time. Tencent video VIP members who purchase, collect and activate monthly/seasonal/annual cards before December 16th, 2024 can also enjoy the rights of logging in 5 devices and playing 2 devices at the same time within the validity period of this order member. Tencent video SVIP membership rights are not affected by this adjustment and remain unchanged.Sources: The current Secretary-General of OPEC, Ghais, will be re-elected. Four representatives of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said that the organization will re-elect the current Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais for a three-year term at a virtual meeting on December 10th. A source said that the meeting will start at 18:30 Beijing time today and is expected to be short and only deal with administrative affairs.Guotai Junan: Airline naked fares will keep rising year-on-year, and the pressure on oil prices will continue to improve. Guotai Junan Research Report said that the recent trend of passenger flow and load factor conforms to the characteristics of off-season, and is better than the same period in 2023. The pressure on oil prices has improved significantly since the fourth quarter of 2024. In December, the ex-factory price of domestic jet fuel increased slightly by 3% from the previous month and decreased by 17% year-on-year, continuing the downward trend of the central government. Recently, domestic naked fares have kept rising year-on-year, and it is estimated that more than half of the fuel has been reduced, reflecting that the recovery of supply and demand is better than expected, and it is expected that the off-season will greatly reduce losses year-on-year. Considering that the recent decline in international oil prices will be transmitted to China with a delay of about two months, the oil price pressure will continue to improve in the first quarter of 2025. It is predicted that the concentration of passenger flow in Spring Festival travel rush in the first half of 2025 will contribute to the active revenue management of the airline company, and the peak season may show more than expected profit elasticity and catalyze optimistic expectations. Reaffirm the logic of super cycle and long period of aviation equipment. When supply and demand recover, considering the marketization of fares and the slowdown of fleet growth, the profit center can be expected to rise.
Japan's Minister of Economic Regeneration Ryosuka Akazawa: Steady progress is being made in overcoming deflation.Liu Jianchao met with New Zealand Ambassador to China Maury. According to the website of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, on December 9, Liu Jianchao, Minister of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, met with the outgoing New Zealand Ambassador to China Maury in Beijing. Liu Jianchao spoke highly of Mao Rui's contribution to the development of China-Singapore relations during his tenure. Liu Jianchao said that since China and Singapore established a comprehensive strategic partnership for 10 years, pragmatic cooperation in various fields has yielded fruitful results. At present, the world situation is uncertain and unstable. China and New Zealand are both in the Asia-Pacific region. A stable and sustainable Sino-New Zealand relationship is conducive to regional and world peace and prosperity. China is willing to work with Singapore to close inter-party exchanges, strengthen political dialogue, deepen pragmatic cooperation in various fields, and promote the stability and far-reaching relations between China and Singapore.CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
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Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
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Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
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